Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.989166 4.286517 4.604611 4.971815 5.386046 5.841257 6.382650
2025-05-11 3.486828 3.898473 4.367381 4.947481 5.655084 6.502763 7.615135
2025-05-18 3.162825 3.628772 4.182122 4.900199 5.826933 7.012194 8.695725
2025-05-25 2.887628 3.373690 3.968304 4.767395 5.843584 7.292516 9.489149
2025-06-01 2.687313 3.186489 3.812265 4.678381 5.888599 7.594310 10.341596
2025-06-08 2.560463 3.078324 3.742652 4.688513 6.058869 8.081866 11.554728
2025-06-15 2.473862 3.013289 3.720642 4.755800 6.310416 8.716808 13.138744
2025-06-22 2.320459 2.848829 3.551002 4.596158 6.201687 8.764003 13.691638
2025-06-29 2.201261 2.723020 3.425397 4.488284 6.157963 8.905992 14.446326
2025-07-06 2.100908 2.617083 3.320290 4.401035 6.135186 9.075650 15.289719
2025-07-13 2.031916 2.550460 3.266190 4.385190 6.224007 9.450145 16.658276
2025-07-20 1.996242 2.527979 3.273247 4.462350 6.473298 10.153202 18.984986
2025-07-27 1.957053 2.501485 3.276985 4.541519 6.748047 10.981012 22.032635
2025-08-03 1.894858 2.439460 3.225020 4.528096 6.859686 11.509871 24.568276
2025-08-10 1.830900 2.371634 3.160083 4.487523 6.915766 11.931195 27.014582
2025-08-17 1.753521 2.280686 3.054904 4.371468 6.816270 11.989781 28.334220
2025-08-24 1.690656 2.208654 2.975379 4.293517 6.782174 12.193616 30.294734
2025-08-31 1.652113 2.171158 2.947588 4.302396 6.919424 12.831718 34.339723
2025-09-07 1.627137 2.152799 2.948649 4.361326 7.164083 13.793271 40.631329
2025-09-14 1.561111 2.069671 2.842457 4.221416 6.980046 13.600100 41.364623
2025-09-21 1.508233 2.005008 2.763574 4.126687 6.884158 13.632932 43.365986
2025-09-28 1.462040 1.949118 2.696681 4.049957 6.819978 13.743913 45.957251
2025-10-05 1.431056 1.915658 2.664945 4.036011 6.891582 14.258195 51.579593